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“The big breakthroughs in the history of ideas have been caused by a shift in fundamental assumptions. What tends to follow these shifts is an avalanche of new ideas. This move to a new set of rules is called a paradigm shift. Paradigm shifts are often as much about sub-cultures forming around the new assumptions as any abstract ‘truth’.”
John Grant
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assumptions are sneaky
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Assumptions are key to managing life. They range, metaphorically, from lily pads to concrete foundations. Regardless of your own definition they offer the basic abilities to craft some ‘certainties’ upon which everything rests. I would argue we are barely aware of most assumptions, but they craft the basis for some inevitability. This, of course, creates a tendency to forecast future events through approximations. For many people that ‘approximation’ steps onto the slippery slope of ‘prediction.’ These ‘predictions’ are premised upon certain spoken or unspoken assumptions which imply some sense of enduring continuation which, as a consequence, imply continuation expectations. If the assumptions get shaken, the expectations get shaken.
Which leads me to the unseen assumptions.
Assumptions as they change are often like tectonic shifts (without the earthquakes). Unseen, and unfelt, a paradigmatic shift creating a fundamental shift in the way that something is understood or approached. It is not simply an incremental change, but rather a change in the underlying assumptions or theories that form the basis of how we see, and believe, about things. These shifts have far-reaching implications to society and how we thrive, or struggle, within that society. Circling back to a prior point, if duration expectations are affected, the general sense to an individual is lack of control and chaos. That said. The majority of assumptions are found below water, not above, and 99% of the time what is above water gives very little indication of what is truly below the water. The majority of people will scan what is floating around and assess that way. The more thoughtful want to know at least something about the parts they cannot obviously see. And the most thoughtful are interested in everything they cannot see even if it takes a lot of time and it is less than simple. I could argue that in Life or in business what we actually do is spend a shitload of time focused solely on the assumptions we can see so we are often late to see the assumptions below changing.
Which leads me to experiences.
One of the most important consequences of fundamental shifts is shifts in experiences – outcomes of the shifts. While fundamental assumptions are tectonic shifts, they actually scramble the details of life and things. They scramble some of the intangibles that are equally important in shaping experience, the information we use and the organizational frameworks within which we live. In other words, they scramble the definitions of things. And once definitions are scrambled experiences become less definable beyond some fairly simplistic abstractions. Ideas that once were clear their outlines become a bit vaguer. A shift in assumption leads to a shift n details which leads to a shift in definitions. Oh. And some people shift slower to new definitions than others. This is a fairly important point because “experience” is actually a mechanism for the consumption of emotions.
Two apparently contrasting images of the future grip the popular imagination today. Most people to the extent that they bother to think about the future at all … assume the world they know will last indefinitely. They find it difficult to imagine a truly different way of life for themselves, let alone a totally new civilization. Of course they recognize that things are changing. But they assume today’s changes will somehow pass them by and that nothing will shake the familiar economic framework and political structure. They confidently expect the future to continue the present. This straight-line thinking comes in various packages. At one level it appears as an unexamined assumption lying behind the decisions of businessmen, teachers, parents, and politicians. At a more sophisticated level it comes dressed up hi statistics, computerized data, and forecasters jargon.
Either way it adds up to a vision of a future world that is essentially “more of the same.”
Alvin Toffler
Which leads me to emotional reclassification.
I don’t care if you read this as thinking shifts, belief shifts, attitude shifts or even mindset shifts, there is always a cost involved in reclassifying assumptions-to-experiences. Some people will lead the way and some will lag along the way in this reclassification design. New systems will be created for the ‘new’ even while the old systems remain in place for the ‘laggards.’ And while we talk a lot about the limits, or unlimits, of people’s ability to re-educate themselves, maybe we should talk a bit more about what limits systems have. I say that because if laggards lag too far and builders build too far, the systems gets split in an ugly tug of war in which no one wins and the system becomes to fail on its most basic duties. Emotionally, and experientially, we begin to feel the repercussions of the fact fundamental assumptions have shifted – and we haven’t.
To be clear, everything I have shared can be viewed from an individual level, a group/business level and a society level. Why? Because fundamental assumptions are the stepping stones of Life. So, when they shift, everything in the world tilts a bit. Ponder.





I would be remiss if I didn’t point out that for older folk the desire to scream is … well … shit … almost the same as a younger person <go figure>.
It is about yourself, but it is more about going on the offensive rather than defensively protecting yourself against the squeaking issues.
less than important squeaking. I believe it encourages noise just for noise sake. I believe it encourages morons to be more loudly moronic.
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Establishing a business Vision seems to be a lost art these days. It has been replaced by the misguided Purpose and, well, it really hasn’t been a very productive decade or so for business thinking. I can’t really blame Purpose because it simply filled in a hole that some absurd Vision discussions had created. Let me be clear. A good business vision is very similar to the concept of a 
Conceptually, context is everything, pragmatically, the situation is everything and all exist within a Vision. A context has infinite aspects while a situation has some finite aspects. i am consistent in how I point out that 99.9999999% of situational decisions are finite in nature – WITHIN a relatively infinite world of possibilities (unforeseen consequences beyond a horizon). So, pragmatically, a situation demands ‘decision sight’ in order to diagnose the most effective strategy (and, yes, I am suggesting each decision is a strategy in and of itself) and the Vision offers a ‘sight line.’
to thinking about a vision as an endeavor too often it is thought of as a grandiose transformative project to remake not only the business, but the dynamics of the market the business exists within. It is often positioned as a panacea that will wipe away the complexity of business. This is just begging for disappointment. In view of the current economic business dynamics, as well as experiences that all of business has had over at least the last decade or two, grand transformative changes are few and far between. But this doesn’t mean that we can allow vision development to go by the wayside if we ever expect to transcend the uncertainties and challenges of a constantly changing business environment. Look. I have suggested 
Not first impressions, but first words.
I do not sit here today writing to suggest anyone should be more careful with regard to what they say first. I do not because I believe most of us are pretty careful with our first words.
I say that recognizing it is tough to be optimistic these days. And I don’t mean because of what is actually happening in today’s world, but rather because if you are optimistic you run the significant risk of being trampled by a herd of cynicism, pessimism and those unwilling to believe the future can be better than the past. That said. I believe the bigger challenge we face is a general reluctance to believe people can change or should be forgiven.
Can someone actually leave the old baggage behind and move on to do better things? <a question we should all be asking ourselves in today’s world>
Far too many people today do not see much to be upbeat about. They simply see a lot of existing problems getting worse. And because of that they are tending to gather around anyone promising a return to an imaginary past era of greatness.

<and the self identities that are inevitably attached to these beliefs>. Needless to say much of that backlash is a bit unhealthy and a lot unmoored to accepted reality.
Far too many loudmouthed people have ripped the meaning out of the word, twisted the value of the word making it seem valueless, and ultimately created an environment in which we demonize the entire process of trying to reach compromise.
compromise on a specific issue>. What this means is that, as with most things in Life, we enthusiastically embrace the conceptual behavior and balk at the actual behavior.



The balance of actually getting a glimpse of that ‘something’ and not having rushed thru some important moment versus the missing feeling.
This sure sounds like something you may have heard on CNN or BBC from someone talking about what is happening in the Middle East or Russia.
This is the craziest aspect.
In addition sometimes new people provide new perspective on their growth (success & failures) experience. The new people possibly have just seen “from the other side” and discern different learnings. They see what Taleb called “half invented ideas” and know how to fully invent them.
Why?
unlike any other generation gap in memorable history <we can look back in time and see others but not any we have lived thru>.
<their perception> by implementing what is comfortable <the past> therefore their behavior is incredibly difficult to impact because their mind is telling them what they are doing is actually different than what they are actually doing.
They may live in a culture which values different things.
Maybe the worst? It seems like they have forgotten that knowledge actually naturally diminishes without some constant nurturing <therefore the value is actually depreciating over time>.
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In fact during the discussion we may even try several different approaches to the idea, using every metaphor <or parable or analogy> within reach to throw into the discussion that we think the person should reasonably be capable of following.


Morons thrive on the isolated statistic.
